據今日石油網站2023年6月29日報道,總部位于英國的能源研究所匯編的數據顯示,盡管疫情結束后可再生能源的增長率持續突破歷史最高水平,但化石燃料仍在滿足全球80%以上的能源需求。
能源研究所在其《世界能源統計評論》中表示,全球一次性能源消費增長了1%,2022年全球石油日消費量增長近300萬桶,達到9730萬桶,比2019年的水平低0.7%。化石燃料與天然氣和煤炭一起,占全球能源結構的82%。
能源研究所表示,如果亞洲大國需求恢復與世界其他地區一致,這個國家的石油日需求量將增加100萬桶,化石燃料在全球能源結構中的占比將升至83%。
根據之前的年度評估,2021年化石燃料占一次性能源消費的82%,低于2019年的83%和5年前的85%。數據顯示,去年石油在全球能源結構中的份額約為33%,但在1973年達到50%的峰值后,過去40年一直在穩步下降。
去年,全球天然氣需求量下降3%。今年,其在一次性能源消費中所占的份額略有下降至24%。但煤炭需求量繼續增長,2021年增長0.6%,至161艾焦(Ej);根據能源研究所的數據,這是自2014年以來的最高煤炭消費水平。
盡管可再生能源的增長率創歷史最高水平,但化石燃料在能源結構中的彈性依然存在。在歐洲,天然氣和煤炭消費量也有所增加,以填補德國和法國核電產量下降帶來的缺口。能源研究所說,去年風能和太陽能的新增裝機容量增幅創歷史新高,它們在發電總量中所占的份額達到歷史最高水平的12%,其中太陽能和風能分別增長25%和13.5%。
能源研究所表示,盡管起點較低,而且遠遠落后于實現《巴黎協定》氣候目標所需的大多數清潔能源水平的預測,但可再生能源的增長仍然強勁。
李峻 譯自 今日石油網站
原文如下:
Renewables surge but fossil fuels still dominating global energy industry
Fossil fuels continue to meet more than 80% of the world’s energy needs despite a continued record growth rate of renewable energy in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, according to data compiled by the UK-based Energy Institute.
Global primary energy consumption grew by 1%, with global oil consumption rising almost 3 million b/d to 97.3 million b/d in 2022, 0.7% below 2019 levels, the Institute said in its Statistical Review of World Energy. Together with gas and coal, fossil fuels made up 82% of the global energy mix.
Had the biggest country's demand recovered in line with the rest of the world, oil demand in the world’s biggest import market would have been 1 million b/d higher, the Institute said, pushing fossil fuels to 83% of the global mix.
Fossil fuels accounted for 82% of primary energy in 2021, according to the previous annual review, down from 83% in 2019 and 85% five years ago. Oil’s share of the global energy mix was around 33% last year although it has been falling steadily over the past four decades after hitting a peak of 50% in 1973, according to the data.
In 2022, global natural gas demand declined by 3%. Its share in primary energy in 2022 decreased slightly to 24%. But coal demand continued to grow, rising 0.6% on 2021 to 161 exajoules (Ej);the highest level of coal consumption since 2014, according to the Energy Institute.
Fossil fuel resilience in the energy mix comes despite record growth rates for renewable energy. In Europe, gas and coal consumption also saw a boost to fill the gap from lower nuclear power output in Germany and France. Last year saw the largest-ever increase in wind and solar new build capacity, the Institute said, noting that, together, they reached a record 12% share of power generation, with solar up 25% and wind up 13.5%.
Although starting from a low base and running well behind most projections for clean energy levels needed to meet the Paris Agreement climate targets, the growth of renewable energy remained robust, the Institute said.
免責聲明:本網轉載自其它媒體的文章及圖片,目的在于弘揚石化精神,傳遞更多石化信息,宣傳國家石化產業政策,展示國家石化產業形象,參與國際石化產業輿論競爭,提高國際石化產業話語權,并不代表本網贊同其觀點和對其真實性負責,在此我們謹向原作者和原媒體致以崇高敬意。如果您認為本站文章及圖片侵犯了您的版權,請與我們聯系,我們將第一時間刪除。