據油價網9月13日報道,二疊紀盆地的石油產量預計將在下月創下歷史新高,EIA預測10月份的產量為541.3萬桶/日。
值得注意的是,美國本土48個州的所有油田預計都將在10月份增產或保持產量。
盡管美國石油總產量仍低于疫情前的紀錄高位,但EIA認為明年產量可能會創下新高。
美國能源情報署(EIA)在其最新的鉆井生產率報告中稱,二疊紀盆地原油產量下月將達到創紀錄高位,較9月增加6.6萬桶/天,至541.3萬桶/天。
EIA在其報告中還指出,從本月到下個月,美國本土48個州的石油總體日產量預計將增加13.2萬桶,達到911.5萬桶/日。10月份,所有油田的產量都會增加,沒有一個油田會下降,只有海恩斯維爾的產量保持不變。
美國能源情報署的最新數據顯示,美國石油總產量在6月份升至自2020年4月以來的最高水平,達到1180萬桶/天。這仍低于疫情暴發前美國鉆井公司達到的創紀錄產量,但產量已從疫情崩潰中顯著復蘇。
石油公司仍對不惜任何代價的增長保持警惕,尤其是因為設備和工人短缺等持續的限制,以及通脹導致的成本上升。但根據數據顯示,由于需求強勁,產出正在小幅上升,不僅是在美國,在國外也是如此。
然而,并非所有人都如此樂觀:先鋒自然資源公司(Pioneer Natural Resources)的斯科特?謝菲爾德(Scott Sheffield)上周表示,美國明年的石油產量增長可能會低于今年,令人失望。
據路透社上周報道,由于上述限制因素,先鋒石油公司的首席執行官預測,美國石油產量今年將增加50萬桶/天,但2023年的產量增幅可能會低于這一數字。EIA預計2023年日產量將增長80萬桶。
根據該機構的預測,美國原油產量明年可能達到創紀錄的1260萬桶/天,超過2019年疫情前創下的1230萬桶/天的紀錄。
郝芬 譯自 油價網
原文如下:
Permian Oil Production Is Set To Hit A Record High
Permian Basin oil production is projected to hit a record high next month, with the EIA forecasting October production of 5.413 million bpd
It is notable that all plays in the Lower 48 are expected to increase or maintain production in October.
While total U.S. oil production remains below the pre-pandemic record high, the EIA believes production could hit new highs next year.
Crude oil production in the Permian Basin is set to hit a record high next month, adding 66,000 bpd from September to 5.413 million bpd, the Energy Information Administration said in its latest Drilling Productivity Report.
Total oil production in the Lower 48 is seen adding 132,000 bpd from this month to next, to reach a total of 9.115 million bpd, the EIA also noted in its report. All plays will see additions in output in October and none will see a decline, with only Haynesville’s output rate remaining unchanged.
The latest factual data from the EIA shows U.S. total oil production rose to the highest since April 2020 in June, to 11.8 million bpd. That’s still below the record-high rate of production U.S. drillers had reached right before the pandemic struck but a significant recovery from the pandemic collapse in production.
Oil companies remain wary of growth at any cost, not least because of continuing constraints such as equipment and worker shortages and higher costs due to inflation. Yet the data suggests output is inching up in response to robust demand, not only in the U.S. but abroad as well.
Yet not everyone is so optimistic: Pioneer Natural Resources’ Scott Sheffield said last week that U.S. oil production growth next year is likely to disappoint by being lower than this year’s.
The chief executive of Pioneer has forecast that U.S. oil production will add half a million barrels per day this year but in 2023 the production gains may be lower than this, Reuters reported last week, because of the above-mentioned constraints. The EIA forecasts production growth of 800,000 bpd for 2023.
According to the authority’s forecast, U.S. crude oil production could hit a record high of 12.6 million bpd next year, beating its pre-pandemic record of 12.3 million bpd, set in 2019.
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