據今日油價網站1月18日消息 根據彭博社的最新交易洞察,原油市場最近一直處于火熱狀態,沒有顯示出降溫的跡象。
交易員似乎基本上沒有理會奧密克戎可能對原油需求產生的任何不利影響,理由很充分:現貨市場的需求依然強勁。
該報告援引了兩個俄羅斯Sokol和ESPO基準原油最新價格走勢,后者尤其受到亞洲煉油商的青睞,以及迪拜原油合同不斷上漲的溢價。
除了實際需求強勁外,油價最近還受益于其他因素,最近的一個因素是胡塞襲擊阿聯酋后中東緊張局勢加劇。
CMC Markets分析師Ash Glover對路透社表示:“分析師預計,隨著全球從兩年的封鎖中開放,需求將恢復到更正常的軌道,今年的需求將超過供應。”
RBC資本市場大宗商品戰略全球主管Helima Croft向英國《金融時報》表示:“目前石油市場正處于危險時期。我們在石油紅色地帶等待美國,美國肯定在準備向歐佩克要求更多的石油。”
自年初以來,布倫特原油價格上漲了10%以上,在撰寫本文時油價每桶接近88美元。美國基準的西得克薩斯中質原油最近幾周也穩步上漲,自2022年初以來上漲了12%。
王磊 摘譯自 今日油價
原文如下:
Oil Market Shows No Signs Of Cooling
The crude oil market has been running hot lately and is showing no signs of cooling, based on the latest trading insight from Bloomberg.
Traders seem to have largely brushed off any adverse effects the Omicron wave might have on demand for crude and with a good reason: demand on the physical market has remained robust.
The report cited the latest price movements for two Russian grades, Sokol and ESPO, the latter enjoying the particular favor of Aisan refiners, as well as the rising premium in Dubai crude contracts.
Besides physical demand strength, oil prices have recently benefited from other factors as well, the latest among them a spike in Middle Eastern tensions after a Houthi attack on the United Arab Emirates.
"Analyst forecasts expect demand to outstrip supply this year as the world opens up from 2 years of lockdowns and resumes a more normal trajectory for demand," CMC Markets analyst Ash Glover told Reuters.
"This is such a perilous time right now in the oil market," Helima Croft, global head of commodity strategy at RBC Capital Markets, told the Financial Times. "We are in the oil red zone for U.S who is absolutely preparing to ask Opec for more barrels."
Brent crude has added more than 10 percent since the start of the year to trade at close to $88 per barrel at the time of writing. West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. benchmark, has also risen steadily in recent weeks, booking a gain of 12 percent since the start of 2022.
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