據(jù)能源經(jīng)濟(jì)12月27日消息稱，評(píng)級(jí)機(jī)構(gòu)ICRA表示，在需求健康和項(xiàng)目成本經(jīng)濟(jì)有利的背景下，天然氣行業(yè)未來(lái)一年的增長(zhǎng)前景正在好轉(zhuǎn)。

由于疫情影響，國(guó)內(nèi)天然氣消費(fèi)量在 2020年-2021年略有放緩，現(xiàn)在預(yù)計(jì)本財(cái)政年度將增長(zhǎng) 9%-11%。

這種增長(zhǎng)將受到需求復(fù)蘇、放松封鎖措施、城市天然氣分銷(CGD)實(shí)體增加承購(gòu)、管道網(wǎng)絡(luò)擴(kuò)張、新的液化天然氣終端和新化肥廠投產(chǎn)的推動(dòng)。

ICRA在一份聲明中稱:“此外，盡管天然氣價(jià)格上漲，但與替代燃料相比，CNG和PNG(國(guó)內(nèi))的成本經(jīng)濟(jì)仍對(duì)其有利，盡管工業(yè)燃料的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)強(qiáng)度更高。”

此外，石油和天然氣上游行業(yè)也受益于需求的增長(zhǎng)，原油價(jià)格在當(dāng)前財(cái)年觸及多年高點(diǎn)，這為公司帶來(lái)了健康的盈利能力和現(xiàn)金流。

由于需求增加以及歐佩克+逐步增加的產(chǎn)量和供應(yīng)，預(yù)計(jì)油價(jià)在中期內(nèi)仍將保持高位，這將繼續(xù)支持上游油氣公司的收入和盈利能力。

朱佳妮 摘譯自 能源經(jīng)濟(jì)

原文如下：

Healthy growth expected for natural gas sector in India in 2022

The growth prospects for the natural gas industry are looking up in the coming year on the back of healthy demand and favourable cost economics of projects, rating agency ICRA said.

Domestic gas consumption, which had witnessing a slight moderation in 2020-21 due to the Covid-19 pandemic, is now expected to grow by 9-11 per cent in the current fiscal.

This growth would be driven by demand revival, post easing of lockdown measures, increasing offtake by City Gas Distribution (CGD) entities, expansion in pipeline network, new LNG terminals and commissioning of new fertiliser plants.

"Further, despite the increase in gas prices, the cost economics remain favourable for CNG and PNG (domestic) compared to alternate fuels, although the competitive intensity is higher in case of industrial fuels," ICRA said in a statement.

Also, the upstream oil and gas industry has benefitted from increasing demand and crude oil prices touching multi-year highs in the current fiscal which translated into healthy profitability and cash flow generation for companies.

Oil prices are expected to remain elevated in the medium term owing to increasing demand and graded increments in the production and supply by OPEC+ which will continue to support the revenues and profitability of the upstream oil and gas companies.

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