據(jù)鉆機地帶6月16日消息,在行業(yè)數(shù)據(jù)顯示美國原油庫存大幅減少,頂級交易商預計油價將進一步上漲后,油價延續(xù)強勁反彈勢頭,全球基準布倫特原油價格逼近每桶75美元。
布倫特原油上漲0.7%,西德克薩斯中質原油(WTI)升至2018年10月以來的最高水平。美國石油學會報告稱,上周美國原油庫存減少854萬桶。如果周三晚些時候的政府數(shù)據(jù)得到證實,這將是自1月份以來的最大跌幅。盡管如此,汽油和餾分油的庫存仍在增加。
隨著主要經(jīng)濟體在新冠疫苗項目的幫助下繼續(xù)重新開放,油價本月的漲勢得到了重新提振。就在歐佩克及其盟國在增加供應方面保持謹慎之際,這也推高了全球能源需求。全球最大商品交易商嘉能可和全球最大獨立石油交易商維托爾集團的高管本周都表示,他們預計油價將進一步上漲。
價格:
倫敦時間上午 7 點 15 分,ICE 歐洲期貨交易所 8 月份交割的布倫特原油價格上漲 0.7%,至每桶 74.49 美元。
紐約商品交易所7月份交割的WTI原油上漲0.6%,至每桶72.55美元。
早些時候,油價升至72.83美元,為2018年10月以來的最高水平。
在美國,盡管油價上漲,但頁巖油生產商今年沒有大幅增加產量,抗病毒措施正在穩(wěn)步撤銷。周二,全球第五大經(jīng)濟體加州全面重新開放經(jīng)濟,而紐約則取消了剩余的限制。
市場的定價結構反映了整體的看漲基調,近期價格高于遠期價格。布倫特原油現(xiàn)貨價差為每桶 73 美分,高于一周前的 47 美分。即將到來的12月合同比2022年同月的價格高5.06美元。
美聯(lián)儲將于周三晚些時候宣布可能至關重要的政策。盡管預計美聯(lián)儲不會調整利率,但可能會就何時及如何縮減購債規(guī)模展開初步討論。這方面的任何變動都可能影響美元價值和對包括石油在內的大宗商品的需求。
裘寅 編譯自 鉆機地帶
原文如下:
Oil Marches Toward $75 as Market Tightens
Oil extended a powerful rally, with global benchmark Brent closing in on $75 a barrel, after industry data pointed to a substantial draw in U.S. crude stockpiles and top traders predicted further gains in prices.
Brent advanced 0.7%, while West Texas Intermediate climbed to the highest level since October 2018. The industry-funded American Petroleum Institute reported U.S. crude inventories fell 8.54 million barrels last week. That would be the largest drop since January if the figures are confirmed by government data later Wednesday. Still, inventories of gasoline and distillates expanded.
Oil’s rally has been reinvigorated this month as leading economies continue to reopen, aided by coronavirus vaccine programs. That’s boosting worldwide energy demand just as the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies maintain a cautious approach to boosting supply. Executives from both Glencore Plc and Vitol Group said this week they see further gains in oil.
Prices:
Brent for August settlement added 0.7% to $74.49 a barrel on the ICE Futures Europe exchange at 7:15 a.m. in London.
WTI for July delivery gained 0.6% to $72.55 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Earlier, prices rose to $72.83, the highest since October 2018.
In the U.S. -- where shale producers have refrained from substantial increases in output this year even as prices march higher -- anti-virus measures are being steadily withdrawn. On Tuesday, California fully reopened its economy, the world’s fifth-largest, while New York lifted its remaining restrictions.
The market’s pricing structure reflects the overall bullish tone, with near-dated prices above those further out. Brent’s prompt timespread was 73 cents a barrel in backwardation, up from 47 cents a week ago. The upcoming December contract was $5.06 more costly than the price for the same month in 2022.
Crude’s latest upswing has come ahead of a potentially pivotal Federal Reserve policy announcement later Wednesday. While the U.S. central bank is not expected to alter interest rates, it could start preliminary discussions about when and how to scale back bond purchases.
Any moves on that front could affect the value of the dollar and demand for commodities, including oil.
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