???? 據(jù)今日油價(jià)2月1日消息稱，美國(guó)能源信息署（EIA）周五表示，由于冠狀病毒的限制和封鎖，到2020年，全球石油和其他液體燃料的消耗量下降了9%，至每天9220萬(wàn)桶，這是自1980年以來的最大降幅。
????今年，全球消費(fèi)者行為將恢復(fù)到更加正常的水平，隨著時(shí)間的推移，經(jīng)濟(jì)的持續(xù)復(fù)蘇將有助于2021年石油消費(fèi)的增長(zhǎng)。EIA在其1月短期能源展望中預(yù)計(jì)，今年全球液體燃料消費(fèi)量將增加560萬(wàn)桶/天，較2020年增長(zhǎng)6%，2022年將再增加330萬(wàn)桶/天。
????EIA預(yù)測(cè)，2021年，美國(guó)的石油消費(fèi)量將增加140萬(wàn)桶/天。
????今年的石油消費(fèi)將會(huì)上升，這要?dú)w功于經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)和到年中恢復(fù)到更正常的旅行模式，這也將對(duì)2022年的石油消費(fèi)增長(zhǎng)產(chǎn)生較小的影響。
????盡管2021年全球石油消費(fèi)預(yù)計(jì)將增長(zhǎng)，但EIA仍預(yù)計(jì)其平均水平將低于疫情前的水平，為9780萬(wàn)桶/天，比2019年的水平低3%。
????歐佩克還認(rèn)為，由于2020年的石油危機(jī)，今年的石油需求將有所增長(zhǎng)。然而，預(yù)計(jì)2021年石油消費(fèi)量為9590萬(wàn)桶/天，從2019年起，石油消費(fèi)量仍將比危機(jī)前水平低近500萬(wàn)桶/天。
????歐佩克表示：“預(yù)計(jì)石油需求不會(huì)從2020年的低迷中完全恢復(fù)，” 該組織預(yù)計(jì)，2020年石油需求將減少980萬(wàn)桶，至平均每日9000萬(wàn)桶。
????國(guó)際能源署(IEA)則在1月份的報(bào)告中，將今年石油日需求增長(zhǎng)預(yù)估下調(diào)30萬(wàn)桶，至550萬(wàn)桶。
????曹海斌 摘譯自 今日油價(jià)
????原文如下：
????EIA: Global Oil Consumption Crashed By 9% In 2020
????Due to the coronavirus restrictions and lockdowns, global consumption of petroleum and other liquid fuels crashed by 9 percent to 92.2 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2020, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Friday, nothing this was the largest drop in EIA’s series dating back to 1980.
????The world will return to more normal consumer behavior this year, and a continued recovery in economies is set to contribute to rising oil consumption in 2021 as the year progresses. EIA expects in its January Short-Term Energy Outlook that global liquid fuels consumption will grow by 5.6 million bpd this year, or by 6 percent compared to 2020, and rise by another 3.3 million bpd in 2022.
????The United States will contribute with a 1.4 million bpd consumption increase to the growth in 2021, the EIA forecasts.
????Oil consumption will rise this year thanks to both economic growth and a return to more normal travel patterns by the middle of the year, which will also have a small effect on oil consumption growth in 2022.
????Despite the expected growth in global oil consumption in 2021, EIA still forecasts it to average below pre-pandemic levels—at 97.8 million bpd, it would be 3 percent less than the 2019 level.
????OPEC also sees oil demand growing this year from the crash in 2020. Yet, at an expected 95.9 million bpd in 2021, oil consumption would still be nearly 5 million bpd below the pre-crisis levels from 2019.
????“Oil demand is not projected to fully recover from the 2020 slump,” said OPEC, which estimates 2020 demand to have crashed by 9.8 million bpd to average 90 million bpd.
????The International Energy Agency (IEA), for its part, cut in its January report its estimate for oil demand growth for this year by 300,000 bpd to 5.5 million bpd.
